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Red85
551122.2
129319.1
58730.5
Blue97
527936.5
38430.6
43533.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions821370501001502008597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
Unranked
30.50.0
30.530.5
Auto9.2
Teleop17.6
End3.7
blue by 5.9
5279
Unranked
36.50.0
36.536.5
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End6.0
Second
5511
Unranked
22.20.0
22.222.2
Auto6.6
Teleop11.6
End4.1
blue by 10.7
435
Unranked
33.00.0
33.033.0
Auto9.5
Teleop18.5
End4.9
Third
1293
Unranked
19.10.0
19.119.1
Auto7.2
Teleop9.6
End2.2
blue by 11.5
384
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto7.2
Teleop18.9
End4.6