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Red147
153341.0
264236.6
481624.5
Blue90
479531.2
319622.7
516037.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1301135010015020014790

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
Unranked
41.00.0
41.041.0
Auto6.3
Teleop22.8
End11.9
red by 4.0
5160
Unranked
37.00.0
37.037.0
Auto9.3
Teleop23.1
End4.6
Second
2642
Unranked
36.60.0
36.636.6
Auto9.9
Teleop22.3
End4.4
red by 5.4
4795
Unranked
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto8.3
Teleop17.6
End5.3
Third
4816
Unranked
24.50.0
24.524.5
Auto10.6
Teleop10.9
End3.0
red by 1.9
3196
Unranked
22.70.0
22.722.7
Auto6.4
Teleop12.6
End3.7