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Red80
345928.0
567924.5
600424.5
Blue87
482826.1
58730.5
153341.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions751050501502002508087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3459
Unranked
28.00.0
28.028.0
Auto7.5
Teleop15.3
End5.1
blue by 13.0
1533
Unranked
41.00.0
41.041.0
Auto6.3
Teleop22.8
End11.9
Second
5679
Unranked
24.50.0
24.524.5
Auto7.0
Teleop13.1
End4.4
blue by 6.0
587
Unranked
30.50.0
30.530.5
Auto9.2
Teleop17.6
End3.7
Third
6004
Unranked
24.50.0
24.524.5
Auto6.4
Teleop13.0
End5.1
blue by 1.6
4828
Unranked
26.10.0
26.126.1
Auto9.6
Teleop11.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach odds98%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds13%Capture odds