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Red75
600326.2
554428.2
333120.2
Blue82
600424.5
479531.2
482826.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75860501001502002507582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5544
Unranked
28.20.0
28.228.2
Auto6.6
Teleop16.7
End4.9
blue by 3.0
4795
Unranked
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto8.3
Teleop17.6
End5.3
Second
6003
Unranked
26.20.0
26.226.2
Auto9.2
Teleop12.6
End4.4
red by 0.1
4828
Unranked
26.10.0
26.126.1
Auto9.6
Teleop11.5
End4.9
Third
3331
Unranked
20.20.0
20.220.2
Auto7.1
Teleop9.3
End3.7
blue by 4.3
6004
Unranked
24.50.0
24.524.5
Auto6.4
Teleop13.0
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach odds98%Breach odds
Capture
3%Capture odds3%Capture odds