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Red68
429030.8
551834.9
481624.5
Blue66
600424.5
527936.5
600326.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93890501502006866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5518
Unranked
34.90.0
34.934.9
Auto10.1
Teleop20.0
End4.8
blue by 1.6
5279
Unranked
36.50.0
36.536.5
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End6.0
Second
4290
Unranked
30.80.0
30.830.8
Auto9.0
Teleop17.5
End4.3
red by 4.6
6003
Unranked
26.20.0
26.226.2
Auto9.2
Teleop12.6
End4.4
Third
4816
Unranked
24.50.0
24.524.5
Auto10.6
Teleop10.9
End3.0
Level
6004
Unranked
24.50.0
24.524.5
Auto6.4
Teleop13.0
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
3%Capture odds10%Capture odds