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Red62
527936.5
481624.5
482826.1
Blue65
479531.2
551122.2
38430.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90860501001506265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5279
Unranked
36.50.0
36.536.5
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End6.0
red by 5.2
4795
Unranked
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto8.3
Teleop17.6
End5.3
Second
4828
Unranked
26.10.0
26.126.1
Auto9.6
Teleop11.5
End4.9
blue by 4.6
384
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto7.2
Teleop18.9
End4.6
Third
4816
Unranked
24.50.0
24.524.5
Auto10.6
Teleop10.9
End3.0
red by 2.3
5511
Unranked
22.20.0
22.222.2
Auto6.6
Teleop11.6
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach odds85%Breach odds
Capture
6%Capture odds11%Capture odds