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Red123
429030.8
264236.6
153341.0
Blue71
482826.1
205931.3
319622.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1187605010015020012371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
Unranked
41.00.0
41.041.0
Auto6.3
Teleop22.8
End11.9
red by 9.6
2059
Unranked
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto8.5
Teleop18.8
End4.0
Second
2642
Unranked
36.60.0
36.636.6
Auto9.9
Teleop22.3
End4.4
red by 10.5
4828
Unranked
26.10.0
26.126.1
Auto9.6
Teleop11.5
End4.9
Third
4290
Unranked
30.80.0
30.830.8
Auto9.0
Teleop17.5
End4.3
red by 8.1
3196
Unranked
22.70.0
22.722.7
Auto6.4
Teleop12.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach odds93%Breach odds
Capture
27%Capture odds3%Capture odds