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Red76
527936.5
373719.6
38430.6
Blue96
554428.2
129319.1
205931.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91790501502007696

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5279
Unranked
36.50.0
36.536.5
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End6.0
red by 5.1
2059
Unranked
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto8.5
Teleop18.8
End4.0
Second
384
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto7.2
Teleop18.9
End4.6
red by 2.4
5544
Unranked
28.20.0
28.228.2
Auto6.6
Teleop16.7
End4.9
Third
3737
Unranked
19.60.0
19.619.6
Auto6.5
Teleop9.1
End4.1
red by 0.5
1293
Unranked
19.10.0
19.119.1
Auto7.2
Teleop9.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach odds80%Breach odds
Capture
15%Capture odds9%Capture odds