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Red85
264236.6
554428.2
Blue46
265536.0
345928.0
551122.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72920501502002503008546

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2642
Unranked
36.60.0
36.636.6
Auto9.9
Teleop22.3
End4.4
red by 0.5
2655
Unranked
36.00.0
36.036.0
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End6.8
Second
5544
Unranked
28.20.0
28.228.2
Auto6.6
Teleop16.7
End4.9
red by 0.2
3459
Unranked
28.00.0
28.028.0
Auto7.5
Teleop15.3
End5.1
Third
3508B
Unranked
7.80.0
7.87.8
Auto2.1
Teleop4.4
End1.4
blue by 14.4
5511
Unranked
22.20.0
22.222.2
Auto6.6
Teleop11.6
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach odds92%Breach odds
Capture
12%Capture odds21%Capture odds