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Red125
153341.0
264236.6
481624.5
Blue99
527936.5
38430.6
373719.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13210405015020012599

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
Unranked
41.00.0
41.041.0
Auto6.3
Teleop22.8
End11.9
red by 4.5
5279
Unranked
36.50.0
36.536.5
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End6.0
Second
2642
Unranked
36.60.0
36.636.6
Auto9.9
Teleop22.3
End4.4
red by 6.0
384
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto7.2
Teleop18.9
End4.6
Third
4816
Unranked
24.50.0
24.524.5
Auto10.6
Teleop10.9
End3.0
red by 4.9
3737
Unranked
19.60.0
19.619.6
Auto6.5
Teleop9.1
End4.1