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Red195
13354.4
456455.3
23841.0
Blue195
19560.4
12550.7
216844.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions202198150250300195195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.30.3
55.855.6
Auto10.2
Teleop33.7
End11.4
blue by 5.1
195
#11
60.40.1
60.059.9
Auto16.2
Teleop35.5
End8.7
Second
133
#4
54.40.3
55.054.7
Auto14.1
Teleop29.6
End10.7
red by 3.8
125
#2
50.70.1
50.250.1
Auto16.2
Teleop27.0
End7.4
Third
238
#39
41.00.3
41.541.2
Auto14.4
Teleop21.0
End5.6
blue by 3.9
2168
#26
44.90.1
44.444.3
Auto12.9
Teleop24.3
End7.6