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Red182
13354.4
456455.3
23841.0
Blue147
17540.0
16642.0
206743.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213157100200250182147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.30.4
56.756.3
Auto10.2
Teleop33.7
End11.4
red by 12.0
2067
#13
43.40.1
43.443.4
Auto16.2
Teleop22.3
End4.8
Second
133
#4
54.40.4
55.855.4
Auto14.1
Teleop29.6
End10.7
red by 12.5
166
#9
42.00.1
42.142.0
Auto14.0
Teleop23.2
End4.8
Third
238
#39
41.00.4
42.442.0
Auto14.4
Teleop21.0
End5.6
red by 1.0
175
#30
40.00.1
40.140.0
Auto8.6
Teleop21.4
End9.9