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Red167
17747.5
115342.5
206436.9
Blue191
176843.6
12644.1
99936.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168174050100150200250300350400167191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#10
47.50.1
47.647.5
Auto12.7
Teleop28.2
End6.6
red by 3.4
126
#6
44.10.1
45.345.4
Auto10.9
Teleop22.8
End10.4
Second
42.50.1
42.742.6
Auto10.2
Teleop26.8
End5.5
blue by 1.1
1768
#27
43.60.1
44.844.9
Auto12.4
Teleop20.5
End10.7
Third
2064
#18
36.90.1
37.036.9
Auto10.9
Teleop12.6
End13.4
red by 0.2
999
#38
36.60.1
37.437.4
Auto11.9
Teleop19.3
End5.4