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Red257
23054.8
151956.7
17647.5
Blue178
105844.4
31943.0
346738.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions211169150200250257178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.71.1
56.357.4
Auto16.9
Teleop34.6
End5.2
red by 12.4
1058
#35
44.40.0
44.344.4
Auto9.1
Teleop23.8
End11.4
Second
230
#14
54.81.1
54.355.4
Auto15.3
Teleop35.3
End4.2
red by 11.8
319
#7
43.00.0
42.943.0
Auto11.7
Teleop23.6
End7.6
Third
176
#23
47.51.1
47.048.1
Auto8.5
Teleop29.3
End9.7
red by 8.8
3467
#32
38.60.0
38.638.6
Auto6.7
Teleop28.1
End3.8