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Red115
46732.3
476129.9
17647.5
Blue111
23841.0
99936.6
183125.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031126080120140160180200115111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#23
47.50.9
43.744.6
Auto8.5
Teleop29.3
End9.7
red by 6.5
238
#39
41.00.2
42.342.5
Auto14.4
Teleop21.0
End5.6
Second
467
#56
32.30.9
30.331.2
Auto5.9
Teleop19.6
End6.8
blue by 4.3
999
#38
36.60.2
38.138.3
Auto11.9
Teleop19.3
End5.4
Third
4761
#48
29.90.9
27.728.6
Auto6.4
Teleop18.3
End5.2
red by 4.4
1831
#59
25.50.2
27.227.4
Auto8.9
Teleop13.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
30%Capture oddsEarned37%Capture oddsEarned