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Red137
17747.5
216844.9
17647.5
Blue129
176843.6
346134.1
417632.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1239650150200137129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#10
47.51.4
38.740.1
Auto12.7
Teleop28.2
End6.6
red by 3.9
1768
#27
43.62.1
38.240.3
Auto12.4
Teleop20.5
End10.7
Second
176
#23
47.51.4
41.042.4
Auto8.5
Teleop29.3
End9.7
red by 13.3
3461
#55
34.12.1
30.632.7
Auto10.5
Teleop18.3
End5.3
Third
2168
#26
44.91.4
36.137.5
Auto12.9
Teleop24.3
End7.6
red by 12.7
4176
#33
32.22.1
28.830.9
Auto10.8
Teleop16.6
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned75%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
15%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned