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Red137
22830.2
206743.4
581338.2
Blue102
287737.1
237035.7
417632.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131106080100120140160137102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#13
43.41.2
42.844.0
Auto16.2
Teleop22.3
End4.8
red by 6.2
2877
#52
37.11.1
38.237.1
Auto18.1
Teleop16.3
End2.8
Second
5813
#36
38.21.2
36.938.2
Auto8.8
Teleop25.4
End4.0
red by 2.5
2370
#24
35.71.1
36.735.7
Auto9.0
Teleop21.8
End4.9
Third
228
#19
30.21.2
28.930.2
Auto9.2
Teleop15.2
End5.7
blue by 2.0
4176
#33
32.21.1
33.332.2
Auto10.8
Teleop16.6
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
51%Capture oddsEarned39%Capture oddsMissed