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Red130
476129.9
23054.8
172934.1
Blue147
83934.5
19560.4
264838.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1151386080100160180200130147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#14
54.81.0
53.054.0
Auto15.3
Teleop35.3
End4.2
blue by 5.6
195
#11
60.40.8
58.659.3
Auto16.2
Teleop35.5
End8.7
Second
1729
#29
34.11.0
33.134.1
Auto10.1
Teleop19.0
End5.0
blue by 4.8
2648
#25
38.90.8
38.238.9
Auto9.7
Teleop24.9
End4.4
Third
4761
#48
29.91.0
28.929.9
Auto6.4
Teleop18.3
End5.2
blue by 4.6
839
#54
34.50.8
33.734.5
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
48%Capture oddsEarned83%Capture oddsEarned