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Red145
55849.4
31943.0
12550.7
Blue87
83934.5
17237.2
584629.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138845010015020025014587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#2
50.70.9
45.546.5
Auto16.2
Teleop27.0
End7.4
red by 13.4
172
#22
37.20.5
32.531.9
Auto9.2
Teleop20.9
End7.1
Second
558
#34
49.40.9
41.742.6
Auto10.0
Teleop30.2
End9.2
red by 14.9
839
#54
34.50.5
34.233.7
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End5.3
Third
319
#7
43.00.9
38.739.6
Auto11.7
Teleop23.6
End7.6
red by 13.8
5846
#31
29.20.5
22.922.4
Auto8.0
Teleop15.1
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
83%Capture oddsEarned6%Capture oddsMissed