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Red97
568738.4
405537.6
17237.2
Blue80
476129.9
88530.1
568630.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10684501502009780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#20
38.40.2
37.637.5
Auto11.4
Teleop22.9
End4.1
red by 7.7
5686
#41
30.70.4
28.828.5
Auto10.2
Teleop15.7
End4.8
Second
4055
#16
37.60.2
30.230.0
Auto10.6
Teleop21.0
End6.0
red by 7.5
885
#53
30.10.4
30.430.0
Auto9.9
Teleop15.3
End4.9
Third
172
#22
37.20.2
31.931.8
Auto9.2
Teleop20.9
End7.1
red by 7.3
4761
#48
29.90.4
26.125.8
Auto6.4
Teleop18.3
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed