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Red165
12550.7
15534.9
23054.8
Blue129
405537.6
17747.5
169931.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13910050150200165129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#14
54.81.7
50.251.9
Auto15.3
Teleop35.3
End4.2
red by 7.3
177
#10
47.51.4
42.744.1
Auto12.7
Teleop28.2
End6.6
Second
125
#2
50.71.7
47.249.0
Auto16.2
Teleop27.0
End7.4
red by 13.1
4055
#16
37.61.4
31.633.0
Auto10.6
Teleop21.0
End6.0
Third
155
#43
34.91.7
31.733.4
Auto9.4
Teleop17.7
End7.8
red by 3.3
1699
#44
31.61.4
28.930.3
Auto9.4
Teleop16.8
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
40%Capture oddsEarned18%Capture oddsEarned