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Red138
17540.0
115342.5
490537.5
Blue109
81130.5
55849.4
417632.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118104406080140160180138109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.51.1
37.038.1
Auto10.2
Teleop26.8
End5.5
blue by 6.9
558
#34
49.40.4
41.341.7
Auto10.0
Teleop30.2
End9.2
Second
175
#30
40.01.1
40.541.6
Auto8.6
Teleop21.4
End9.9
red by 7.8
4176
#33
32.20.4
33.033.4
Auto10.8
Teleop16.6
End4.8
Third
4905
#12
37.51.1
34.235.3
Auto12.2
Teleop19.7
End5.5
red by 6.9
811
#51
30.50.4
28.528.9
Auto3.4
Teleop20.1
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
33%Capture oddsEarned16%Capture oddsEarned