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Qual 582016 New England District Championship
Red118
456455.3
568630.7
17647.5
Blue162
31943.0
17747.5
112436.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13311250100150200118162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4564
#1
55.30.6
55.8→55.3
Auto10.2
Teleop33.7
End11.4
red by 7.9
177
#10
47.53.0
44.1→47.1
Auto12.7
Teleop28.2
End6.6
Second
176
#23
47.50.6
43.8→43.3
Auto8.5
Teleop29.3
End9.7
red by 4.5
319
#7
43.03.0
38.8→41.8
Auto11.7
Teleop23.6
End7.6
Third
5686
#41
30.70.6
26.7→26.1
Auto10.2
Teleop15.7
End4.8
blue by 6.2
1124
#8
36.93.0
29.2→32.2
Auto11.3
Teleop17.8
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
40%Capture oddsEarned61%Capture oddsEarned