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Red81
22830.2
99936.6
109934.4
Blue124
584629.2
17747.5
287631.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99112608012014016018081124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
999
#38
36.61.2
33.031.9
Auto11.9
Teleop19.3
End5.4
blue by 10.8
177
#10
47.50.1
47.147.2
Auto12.7
Teleop28.2
End6.6
Second
1099
#40
34.41.2
34.032.9
Auto8.3
Teleop19.1
End7.0
red by 3.0
2876
#50
31.50.1
33.633.7
Auto9.6
Teleop17.4
End4.5
Third
228
#19
30.21.2
31.230.1
Auto9.2
Teleop15.2
End5.7
red by 1.0
5846
#31
29.20.1
26.826.9
Auto8.0
Teleop15.1
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
54%Capture oddsMissed5%Capture oddsMissed