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Red130
556324.8
23054.8
404842.1
Blue138
99936.6
15534.9
12644.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11711690100110120130140150130138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#14
54.81.1
50.952.0
Auto15.3
Teleop35.3
End4.2
red by 10.7
126
#6
44.11.6
43.144.7
Auto10.9
Teleop22.8
End10.4
Second
4048
#21
42.11.1
39.040.2
Auto7.9
Teleop27.3
End6.8
red by 5.4
999
#38
36.61.6
36.538.1
Auto11.9
Teleop19.3
End5.4
Third
5563
#62
24.81.1
23.024.1
Auto2.8
Teleop16.8
End5.1
blue by 10.1
155
#43
34.91.6
34.235.8
Auto9.4
Teleop17.7
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
20%Capture oddsEarned74%Capture oddsEarned