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Quarterfinal 4-12016 Newton Division
Red250
6759.4
517261.3
348139.9
Blue151
261440.3
1652.9
400144.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions196174100150250300250151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#10
61.30.3
61.0→61.3
Auto17.0
Teleop34.5
End9.8
red by 8.5
16
#42
52.90.3
53.0→52.7
Auto12.0
Teleop27.8
End13.1
Second
67
#4
59.40.3
59.0→59.3
Auto15.8
Teleop31.2
End12.4
red by 14.7
4001
#7
44.70.3
44.8→44.5
Auto9.6
Teleop25.6
End9.5
Third
3481
#44
39.90.3
39.8→40.2
Auto7.3
Teleop28.7
End3.9
blue by 0.5
2614
#39
40.30.3
40.4→40.2
Auto10.7
Teleop22.4
End7.2