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Red104
330944.2
412228.4
550544.6
Blue160
366341.9
164044.3
147736.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11912480100140160104160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#63
44.60.8
44.844.0
Auto8.9
Teleop26.2
End9.5
red by 0.3
1640
#17
44.31.7
41.643.3
Auto13.0
Teleop27.7
End3.6
Second
3309
#43
44.20.8
44.944.1
Auto11.2
Teleop26.3
End6.7
red by 2.3
3663
#14
41.91.7
42.744.4
Auto12.3
Teleop25.0
End4.6
Third
4122
#40
28.40.8
26.425.6
Auto9.7
Teleop13.9
End4.8
blue by 8.0
1477
#48
36.41.7
35.537.1
Auto11.3
Teleop20.0
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
30%Capture oddsMissed51%Capture oddsEarned