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Red87
585130.6
208133.5
474427.4
Blue139
348139.9
70843.6
328828.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9111405015020087139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2081
#53
33.50.3
33.933.6
Auto11.0
Teleop14.4
End8.1
blue by 10.0
708
#19
43.62.1
40.542.6
Auto9.4
Teleop22.2
End12.0
Second
5851
#72
30.60.3
31.230.9
Auto9.2
Teleop17.3
End4.1
blue by 9.3
3481
#44
39.92.1
39.641.7
Auto7.3
Teleop28.7
End3.9
Third
4744
#68
27.40.3
27.026.7
Auto10.6
Teleop9.6
End7.2
blue by 0.9
3288
#62
28.32.1
27.629.7
Auto9.3
Teleop14.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
71%Breach oddsMissed97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed22%Capture oddsEarned