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Qual 1112016 Newton Division
Red162
22933.2
17955.5
25466.7
Blue112
1652.9
517261.3
203526.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158157120140180200220162112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#2
66.70.2
63.9→64.1
Auto16.6
Teleop42.0
End8.2
red by 5.4
5172
#10
61.33.4
63.2→59.9
Auto17.0
Teleop34.5
End9.8
Second
179
#5
55.50.2
57.3→57.5
Auto12.7
Teleop31.0
End11.9
red by 2.6
16
#42
52.93.4
58.5→55.2
Auto12.0
Teleop27.8
End13.1
Third
229
#13
33.20.2
32.5→32.7
Auto8.8
Teleop18.7
End5.6
red by 7.0
2035
#15
26.23.4
30.6→27.3
Auto8.3
Teleop13.2
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
57%Capture oddsEarned65%Capture oddsMissed