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Qual 1182016 Newton Division
Red106
396113.7
239342.5
167632.5
Blue155
412228.4
17955.5
171033.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80124050100150200106155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2393
#36
42.51.4
41.1→42.5
Auto8.5
Teleop29.4
End4.6
blue by 13.0
179
#5
55.52.7
57.5→60.2
Auto12.7
Teleop31.0
End11.9
Second
1676
#18
32.51.4
31.0→32.5
Auto10.8
Teleop17.4
End4.3
blue by 0.9
1710
#20
33.42.7
30.6→33.4
Auto8.4
Teleop20.9
End4.1
Third
3961
#74
13.71.4
12.2→13.7
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End0.6
blue by 14.7
4122
#40
28.42.7
25.6→28.4
Auto9.7
Teleop13.9
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed19%Capture oddsEarned