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Red117
393741.3
129636.5
12638.1
Blue167
357434.7
427635.1
25466.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12513550100150200117167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#34
41.31.0
46.045.0
Auto11.5
Teleop22.1
End7.7
blue by 25.5
254
#2
66.72.2
64.166.2
Auto16.6
Teleop42.0
End8.2
Second
126
#29
38.11.0
39.138.1
Auto10.7
Teleop18.4
End8.9
red by 3.0
4276
#52DQ
35.12.2
32.935.1
Auto11.0
Teleop17.8
End6.2
Third
1296
#46
36.51.0
37.636.5
Auto11.3
Teleop21.4
End3.9
red by 1.8
3574
#28
34.72.2
32.634.7
Auto9.6
Teleop20.6
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
47%Capture oddsEarned75%Capture oddsEarned