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Red129
1652.9
114341.7
581725.9
Blue155
70843.6
366341.9
456136.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12511580100140160180200129155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#42
52.90.6
51.351.9
Auto12.0
Teleop27.8
End13.1
red by 9.3
708
#19
43.61.8
37.839.6
Auto9.4
Teleop22.2
End12.0
Second
1143
#61
41.70.6
40.240.7
Auto10.6
Teleop25.6
End5.5
blue by 0.2
3663
#14
41.91.8
37.138.9
Auto12.3
Teleop25.0
End4.6
Third
5817
#64
25.90.6
28.829.4
Auto9.6
Teleop14.9
End1.4
blue by 10.9
4561
#23
36.91.8
38.340.1
Auto11.3
Teleop21.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
53%Capture oddsEarned65%Capture oddsEarned