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Qual 802016 Newton Division
Red112
622017.9
467856.7
347651.1
Blue118
167632.5
515040.1
461334.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13010550150200112118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4678
#21
56.71.1
53.4→52.4
Auto16.8
Teleop32.2
End7.8
red by 16.6
5150
#6
40.10.2
39.9→39.7
Auto11.0
Teleop21.6
End7.5
Second
3476
#32
51.11.1
49.8→48.7
Auto15.9
Teleop27.8
End7.4
red by 17.1
4613
#31
34.00.2
34.2→34.0
Auto8.8
Teleop19.9
End5.2
Third
6220
#67
17.91.1
19.9→18.8
Auto9.1
Teleop6.0
End2.7
blue by 14.6
1676
#18
32.50.2
31.9→31.7
Auto10.8
Teleop17.4
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
27%Capture oddsMissed39%Capture oddsEarned