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Red98
214731.6
568626.4
550544.6
Blue83
616726.3
581725.9
588525.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118770501001502009883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#63
44.61.4
45.844.4
Auto8.9
Teleop26.2
End9.5
red by 18.3
6167
#55
26.30.2
25.825.6
Auto10.4
Teleop10.7
End5.3
Second
2147
#38
31.61.4
34.232.8
Auto12.3
Teleop15.5
End3.8
red by 5.7
5817
#64
25.90.2
28.928.7
Auto9.6
Teleop14.9
End1.4
Third
5686
#56
26.41.4
28.927.5
Auto11.1
Teleop11.7
End3.6
red by 1.3
5885
#69
25.10.2
25.925.7
Auto7.3
Teleop12.7
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned49%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
40%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed