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Qual 922016 Newton Division
Red143
424234.6
129636.5
17955.5
Blue150
347651.1
22933.2
21753.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13212880100120140160180200143150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#5
55.50.7
56.6→57.3
Auto12.7
Teleop31.0
End11.9
red by 2.3
217
#8
53.21.6
45.8→47.5
Auto13.4
Teleop29.2
End10.7
Second
1296
#46
36.50.7
37.4→38.0
Auto11.3
Teleop21.4
End3.9
blue by 14.6
3476
#32
51.11.6
48.7→50.3
Auto15.9
Teleop27.8
End7.4
Third
4242
#54
34.60.7
34.2→34.8
Auto12.0
Teleop19.3
End3.3
red by 1.4
229
#13
33.21.6
30.8→32.5
Auto8.8
Teleop18.7
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
37%Capture oddsMissed47%Capture oddsEarned