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Red136
622017.9
1652.9
331447.7
Blue99
171033.4
350434.7
12547.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1321205010015020013699

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#42
52.90.0
58.558.5
Auto12.0
Teleop27.8
End13.1
red by 5.2
125
#33
47.71.3
48.347.0
Auto14.2
Teleop26.7
End6.7
Second
3314
#26
47.70.0
49.049.0
Auto12.2
Teleop27.6
End7.9
red by 13.0
3504
#59
34.71.3
36.234.9
Auto9.4
Teleop19.2
End6.0
Third
6220
#67
17.90.0
18.818.8
Auto9.1
Teleop6.0
End2.7
blue by 15.5
1710
#20
33.41.3
33.632.3
Auto8.4
Teleop20.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
42%Capture oddsMissed55%Capture oddsEarned