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Quarterfinal 1-12016 Battle of the Bay
Red165
105845.8
151951.9
555631.2
Blue138
16649.6
23841.0
5821.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15715250100200250165138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
Unranked
51.90.0
51.9→51.9
Auto16.9
Teleop29.2
End5.9
red by 2.3
166
Unranked
49.60.0
49.6→49.6
Auto17.3
Teleop27.5
End4.8
Second
1058
Unranked
45.80.0
45.8→45.8
Auto9.5
Teleop25.8
End10.5
red by 4.8
238
Unranked
41.00.0
41.0→41.0
Auto14.4
Teleop21.0
End5.6
Third
5556
Unranked
31.20.0
31.2→31.2
Auto8.7
Teleop15.9
End6.6
red by 9.8
58
Unranked
21.40.0
21.4→21.4
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End4.2