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Red68
172120.5
490634.4
405537.8
Blue82
31940.9
617224.6
5821.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95890501502006882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4055
Unranked
37.80.0
37.837.8
Auto11.6
Teleop18.7
End7.5
blue by 3.0
319
Unranked
40.90.0
40.940.9
Auto9.5
Teleop25.1
End6.3
Second
4906
Unranked
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto6.2
Teleop24.6
End3.6
red by 9.8
6172
Unranked
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto8.4
Teleop13.7
End2.5
Third
1721
Unranked
20.50.0
20.520.5
Auto4.6
Teleop12.0
End3.9
blue by 1.0
58
Unranked
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach odds96%Breach odds
Capture
6%Capture odds11%Capture odds