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Red9
107320.2
16649.6
454632.3
Blue85
490634.4
32015.6
21324.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11270050150200250985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
Unranked
49.60.0
49.649.6
Auto17.3
Teleop27.5
End4.8
red by 15.2
4906
Unranked
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto6.2
Teleop24.6
End3.6
Second
4546
Unranked
32.30.0
32.332.3
Auto9.0
Teleop18.6
End4.6
red by 8.2
213
Unranked
24.10.0
24.124.1
Auto7.6
Teleop14.0
End2.5
Third
1073
Unranked
20.20.0
20.220.2
Auto5.7
Teleop11.1
End3.4
red by 4.5
320
Unranked
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach odds90%Breach odds
Capture
9%Capture odds1%Capture odds