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Red170
105845.8
88529.0
346738.6
Blue72
172928.8
81130.5
454632.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1229005015020025030017072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1058
Unranked
45.80.0
45.845.8
Auto9.5
Teleop25.8
End10.5
red by 13.5
4546
Unranked
32.30.0
32.332.3
Auto9.0
Teleop18.6
End4.6
Second
3467
Unranked
38.60.0
38.638.6
Auto6.7
Teleop28.1
End3.8
red by 8.1
811
Unranked
30.50.0
30.530.5
Auto3.4
Teleop20.1
End7.0
Third
885
Unranked
29.00.0
29.029.0
Auto9.9
Teleop13.3
End5.8
red by 0.2
1729
Unranked
28.80.0
28.828.8
Auto9.4
Teleop14.0
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds80%Breach odds
Capture
16%Capture odds13%Capture odds