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Red118
264838.2
490634.4
172928.8
Blue129
581346.0
13135.4
454632.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124143050100200250300118129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
Unranked
38.20.0
38.238.2
Auto8.9
Teleop24.5
End4.8
blue by 7.8
5813
Unranked
46.00.0
46.046.0
Auto9.3
Teleop31.8
End4.9
Second
4906
Unranked
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto6.2
Teleop24.6
End3.6
blue by 1.0
131
Unranked
35.40.0
35.435.4
Auto9.3
Teleop16.6
End9.5
Third
1729
Unranked
28.80.0
28.828.8
Auto9.4
Teleop14.0
End5.4
blue by 3.5
4546
Unranked
32.30.0
32.332.3
Auto9.0
Teleop18.6
End4.6