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Red125
183126.9
13137.9
50125.5
Blue106
16622.3
320529.5
50922.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11392406080100120140160125106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#4
37.90.1
37.737.9
Auto10.9
Teleop19.7
End7.3
red by 8.3
29.50.3
28.829.1
Auto7.9
Teleop16.7
End5.0
Second
1831
#22
26.90.1
26.826.9
Auto10.2
Teleop11.6
End5.1
red by 4.6
166
#9
22.30.3
21.521.8
Auto6.1
Teleop12.2
End3.9
Third
501
#20
25.50.1
25.425.5
Auto10.4
Teleop10.7
End4.4
red by 3.3
509
#24
22.20.3
21.521.8
Auto8.4
Teleop11.3
End2.5