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Red85
345122.2
596228.6
50922.2
Blue47
550620.1
332321.5
192223.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605930405070808547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5962
#11
28.60.5
20.320.8
Auto8.8
Teleop14.5
End5.4
red by 4.7
1922
#26
23.91.3
19.918.6
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End4.8
Second
509
#24
22.20.5
18.218.8
Auto8.4
Teleop11.3
End2.5
red by 0.8
3323
#25
21.50.8
19.118.3
Auto6.9
Teleop12.1
End2.5
Third
3451
#36
22.20.9
18.319.2
Auto8.1
Teleop9.1
End5.0
red by 2.0
5506
#37
20.11.3
20.018.6
Auto5.9
Teleop10.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsMissed43%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed