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Red92
581336.1
234221.4
13137.9
Blue106
151942.6
237035.1
23727.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions818360709010092106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#4
37.90.7
31.432.1
Auto10.9
Teleop19.7
End7.3
blue by 4.7
42.63.2
25.428.6
Auto14.9
Teleop22.9
End4.8
Second
5813
#14
36.10.7
27.328.0
Auto9.1
Teleop22.9
End4.1
red by 1.0
35.11.9
28.330.2
Auto10.0
Teleop20.6
End4.5
Third
2342
#13
21.40.7
17.918.6
Auto4.5
Teleop13.8
End3.1
blue by 6.1
237
#17
27.62.3
18.620.9
Auto9.8
Teleop12.8
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed