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Red77
151942.6
178616.8
359713.8
Blue80
252320.3
287632.2
54949.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6751204060801001207780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.61.6
28.630.2
Auto14.9
Teleop22.9
End4.8
red by 10.3
32.20.9
25.526.4
Auto10.4
Teleop17.5
End4.4
Second
1786
#34
16.81.0
14.015.0
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End2.4
blue by 3.5
2523
#40
20.31.4
14.115.6
Auto8.1
Teleop9.4
End2.7
Third
3597
#38
13.81.6
15.016.6
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End2.5
red by 4.4
5494
#27
9.40.9
12.313.2
Auto1.9
Teleop6.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
32%Breach oddsMissed60%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed