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Red49
359713.8
54949.4
490932.7
Blue89
590219.9
13829.7
13137.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5576020401001204989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.70.6
28.527.9
Auto9.4
Teleop18.6
End4.7
blue by 5.2
131
#4
37.91.1
32.133.1
Auto10.9
Teleop19.7
End7.3
Second
3597
#38
13.81.0
16.615.5
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End2.5
blue by 15.9
138
#15
29.71.1
23.824.8
Auto9.1
Teleop13.4
End7.3
Third
5494
#27
9.40.6
13.212.6
Auto1.9
Teleop6.5
End0.9
blue by 10.4
5902
#23
19.91.8
17.219.0
Auto8.5
Teleop9.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach oddsMissed57%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed