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Red86
31938.5
492925.7
178616.8
Blue42
359713.8
320529.5
130716.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions784702040601001208642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#1
38.50.6
33.834.5
Auto6.5
Teleop24.4
End7.6
red by 9.0
29.50.6
25.424.8
Auto7.9
Teleop16.7
End5.0
Second
4929
#16
25.70.6
22.623.3
Auto6.3
Teleop14.3
End5.2
red by 8.9
1307
#29
16.80.6
10.610.0
Auto5.8
Teleop7.9
End3.1
Third
1786
#34
16.80.6
14.915.5
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End2.4
red by 2.9
3597
#38
13.81.1
15.514.5
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach oddsEarned37%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed