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Red65
178616.8
454628.4
332321.5
Blue105
9525.0
490932.7
234221.4
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions527920406010012065105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4546
#19
28.41.0
23.024.0
Auto9.3
Teleop15.7
End3.4
blue by 4.3
32.70.5
27.427.9
Auto9.4
Teleop18.6
End4.7
Second
3323
#25
21.50.6
17.718.3
Auto6.9
Teleop12.1
End2.5
blue by 3.6
95
#31
25.00.5
25.526.1
Auto7.8
Teleop13.9
End3.3
Third
1786
#34
16.80.6
15.516.1
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End2.4
blue by 4.7
2342
#13
21.40.5
18.919.4
Auto4.5
Teleop13.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
17%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed