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Red32
54949.4
178616.8
492518.6
Blue90
596228.6
13137.9
172120.5
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4480020601001203290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4925
#35
18.62.4
19.316.9
Auto2.4
Teleop14.3
End1.9
blue by 19.2
131
#4
37.91.0
34.435.5
Auto10.9
Teleop19.7
End7.3
Second
1786
#34
16.81.4
16.114.6
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End2.4
blue by 11.8
5962
#11
28.61.0
22.723.7
Auto8.8
Teleop14.5
End5.4
Third
5494
#27
9.41.4
13.111.7
Auto1.9
Teleop6.5
End0.9
blue by 11.1
1721
#28
20.51.0
17.518.5
Auto4.6
Teleop12.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
25%Breach oddsMissed69%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned