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Red126
490932.7
581336.1
563319.6
Blue80
320529.5
15124.2
252320.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8265204010012014012680

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5813
#14
36.12.3
30.432.7
Auto9.1
Teleop22.9
End4.1
red by 6.6
29.50.9
26.327.3
Auto7.9
Teleop16.7
End5.0
Second
32.72.3
27.029.3
Auto9.4
Teleop18.6
End4.7
red by 8.5
151
#12
24.20.9
21.922.9
Auto6.2
Teleop14.5
End3.4
Third
5633
#39
19.63.8
19.022.9
Auto3.8
Teleop13.0
End2.8
blue by 0.7
2523
#40
20.31.5
17.819.3
Auto8.1
Teleop9.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned63%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed